Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.486817 0.557622 0.634279 0.723332 0.823827 0.933610 1.062511
2025-03-30 0.368807 0.462203 0.571764 0.709333 0.876978 1.074135 1.323041
2025-04-06 0.294323 0.400887 0.535461 0.716809 0.953582 1.250861 1.650841
2025-04-13 0.228671 0.337195 0.484152 0.695731 0.990192 1.382734 1.942306
2025-04-20 0.192677 0.305595 0.468546 0.717596 1.084560 1.600400 2.373983
2025-04-27 0.165821 0.281517 0.458628 0.744608 1.188469 1.843011 2.870248
2025-05-04 0.140125 0.253931 0.438231 0.751675 1.262446 2.049945 3.338812
2025-05-11 0.118221 0.228046 0.415676 0.750814 1.322423 2.240950 3.803677
2025-05-18 0.100552 0.205887 0.395234 0.749428 1.379870 2.432639 4.289040
2025-05-25 0.086810 0.188138 0.379259 0.752639 1.444228 2.641007 4.822191
2025-06-01 0.076085 0.174061 0.367475 0.761092 1.517812 2.871388 5.414801
2025-06-08 0.065545 0.158202 0.349518 0.754759 1.562550 3.054515 5.941580
2025-06-15 0.058717 0.149166 0.344065 0.772788 1.656928 3.339481 6.685507
2025-06-22 0.050637 0.135631 0.326992 0.764505 1.698479 3.530414 7.275057
2025-06-29 0.045294 0.127474 0.320210 0.776891 1.783237 3.812477 8.065641
2025-07-06 0.038584 0.114435 0.300148 0.756968 1.797481 3.956639 8.600672
2025-07-13 0.035506 0.110225 0.300107 0.782479 1.912770 4.316261 9.600629
2025-07-20 0.033010 0.107070 0.302106 0.813004 2.042703 4.718570 10.724550
2025-07-27 0.029717 0.100906 0.295455 0.821503 2.123138 5.023283 11.671464
2025-08-03 0.026450 0.094064 0.285846 0.821112 2.182454 5.287467 12.555095
2025-08-10 0.023568 0.087732 0.276504 0.819959 2.239591 5.551870 13.462240
2025-08-17 0.021210 0.082528 0.269409 0.823681 2.309067 5.850479 14.471231
2025-08-24 0.019300 0.078376 0.264634 0.833022 2.393788 6.192016 15.606605